The 2015 Kentucky Derby is here!

El’s order of finish, betting strategy and analysis for the 2015 Run for the Roses on Saturday 2 May, 2015 is provided for PREMIUM Subscribers in Bet-with-El Members Only.  Free Memberships should subscribe today to a PREMIUM Membership at:!

The 141st Kentucky Derby on 2 May setting the stage for the Triple Crown, is a Grade 1 race for three-year-olds racing at 1 and ¼ miles over a dirt track. It has been held every year since 1875, and is the first leg of the Triple Crown, followed by the Preakness Stakes and the Belmont Stakes.

Last year, we watched California Chrome with his unlikely pedigree win the hopes of many for a Triple Crown.  Although faltering in the fresh field at Belmont Stakes, California Chrome went on to challenge the wire to wire winner Bayern in the Breeders Cup Classic and was named for the ultimate 2014 Champion Horse of the Year award, all starting with his Kentucky Derby win. There is a strong field in the making for 2015.  Get your access to the full race card at Churchill Downs on 2 May and El’s picks for the Derby.

The Race in Perspective:  There are 20 horses running in this race  with 2 Alternate Entries.  Please note that as of Thursday, 30 April, Stanford (#11) opted out of running in the KY Derby.  Frammento (#21) drew in from the Also Eligible (AE) list.  Frammento will be in the 20th post position running with #21 number.

This year’s entry into the Kentucky Derby is based on a point system rather than money earned as in previous years. At 3 years old, horses are still physically and mentally immature. Winning the Kentucky Derby requires a horse that has the stamina and the physical and mental maturity to put it all together in this one race. At the same time, we are looking for a trainer who brings his horse along at a pace appropriate for the horse. This is the reason why some horses are raced less than other horses, but with a point system the horse has to race to collect points to become eligible. It also means that a horse with less races to become eligible has to win his races. This year we have 18 colts, 1 gelding, and 1 ridgling in the 20 horse field.   This race may also be looked at as a contest of trainers and jockeys. However all the factors have to play together, including post position, weather, track condition, and factors that come into play as the race unfolds in real time. As with people, horses can have good and bad days and when they have a bad day, they may not fire even though they have it in them.   The horses’ sire may be known to pass certain characteristics to its offspring and the propensity for distance, stamina, and speed are needed for a horse to win the Kentucky Derby